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Texas isn’t just getting bigger, it’s economy is growing faster
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All the pieces is greater in Texas, together with the economic system. And that is not simply because increasingly more persons are transferring there.
In the event you ignore inhabitants progress, Texas is producing hundreds of {dollars} extra per capita than it did three years in the past.
That type of progress is politically essential. It indicators rising dwelling requirements, a stronger tax base and better leverage to finance infrastructure, schooling and different priorities with out elevating taxes. Texas’s success story gives a transparent instance for Republicans to argue that low taxes, mild regulation and robust power manufacturing ship actual financial advantages, not simply inhabitants turnover.
TAX STRUGGLE PUT CALIFORNIA ON COLLISION COURSE AS BILLIONAIRES LEAVE FOR RED STATES

A rider waving the American flag participates within the opening of a good and rodeo on October 23, 2025. (Jakub Porzycki/Anadolu/Getty Photos)
These beneficial properties are clearly mirrored within the information. The Lone Star State noticed a ten.1% improve in financial output per capita between 2021 and 2024, based mostly on calculations utilizing figures from the Bureau of Financial Evaluation and the US Census.
California’s looming capital flight drawback may reshape the state in three key areas
In greenback phrases, Texas elevated financial output per capita from about $64,000 to virtually $71,000. Even states with a lot bigger economies, together with California, didn’t expertise the identical per capita progress, with California’s progress rising far more modestly, from about $80,000 to $84,000.
By progress for residents, economies which are truly getting stronger will be distinguished from economies which are simply getting larger. Texas falls firmly into the previous camp, undermining the argument that turnout is merely a demographic mirage.
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Gov. Greg Abbott smiles as he arrives throughout a invoice signing on the State Capitol on April 23, 2025 in Austin, Texas. (Brandon Bell/Getty Photos)
Even inside the fast-growing Solar Belt, Texas is outpacing friends like Florida and Arizona, which additionally benefited from migration however noticed smaller beneficial properties per capita.
That distinction carries political weight heading into 2026.
With the midterm election cycle approaching, Texas’ per capita beneficial properties give Republicans a concrete approach to argue that their coverage combine will ship stronger progress as Democrats push for an even bigger federal function.
All the pieces could also be larger in Texas — however the information suggests the economic system is getting stronger, too.
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